Qualitative Analysis of the Aviation Market in Poland during the Pandemic. Results of analyzed scenarios for representative entities of the aviation sector in poland

Abstract

The article analyzes scenarios for representative entities of the aviation sector in Poland of the impact of COVID-19 on the aviation market, considering the expected changes in the demand for employees with various competence groups. The analysis was made by conducting quantitative and qualitative research in the aviation sector using the desk research method and surveying the opinions of selected entities, including a review of public registers, in particular CEiDG, KRS, Database of Development Services, Central Statistical Office, data of the Civil Aviation Authority, POL-on, reports and registers concerning the aviation industry, as well as statistical research of a representative group of entities through questionnaires and formalized interviews. The conducted research made it possible to identify the key factors influencing the aviation industry. 2019 was a record year in terms of the number of passengers served at Polish airports - over 49 million passengers. As a result of the pandemic, there was a drastic decrease in air transport - for regular traffic, the decrease in 2020 was 69.5%, and for charter flights - 77.3%. Air cargo was basically unaffected. Due to the COVID-19 pandemic, the global aviation sector was experiencing the greatest crisis in its history. Factors such as the economic slowdown and the coronavirus pandemic have influenced employers' HR policy. Not only did they withhold the decision to expand the staff, but also significantly reduced it. In the low-impact variant of the pandemic on the operations of the aviation industry, and thus it can be said to be optimistic, the return to international passenger traffic comparable to that in 2019 (before the pandemic) may take place in 2024, which will affect on the shape of the aviation industry also in this part of Europe. The analysis of the impact of COVID-19 was made within polish representative entities of aviation sector. The surveys in other countries may differ. Article presents original set of data from research. The obtained research results can be used by aviation managers willing to implement or develop risk management systems in their organizations in case of future pandemic or similar crises.